Wednesday, September 9, 2015

STOCKS MAY COME DOWN --CRASH EXPECTED IN USA

PAUL B. FARRELL 

Opinion: 100% risk of a 50% stock crash if Donald Trump wins nomination

Published: Sept 5, 2015 8:43 a.m. ET
By

PAUL 

 COLUMNIST
“Who will get the Dreary Recovery Going?” taunts Mort Zuckerman in a Wall Street Journal op-ed. The head of U.S. News & World Report warns America that a recession is coming: “They occur about every eight years and America is ill-prepared to weather the one on the horizon.” Ill-equipped.
Yes, the clock is ticking, every 8 years. 2000. 2008. Next 2016, even with a President Trump.
Another great newsman, Bill O’Neill, publisher of Investors Business Daily, author of perennial best-seller “How To Make Money in Stocks,” agrees: Markets have peaked and crashed roughly every four years for the last century, with bigger crashes, long recessions, every eight years. And still most investors will be ill-prepared.
Sounds like a double-teamed confirmation of Jeremy Grantham’s famous BusinessInsider prediction for 2016: “Around the presidential election or soon after, the market bubble will burst, as bubbles always do, and will revert to its trend value, around half of its peak or worse.”
Get it? A mega crash is coming, dropping half off its peak, down below Dow 5,000. Not just another 1,000-point correction like last month. But a heart-stopping collapse coinciding with the 2016 elections ... then a long systemic recession ... probably lasting till the 2020 presidential election, maybe longer ... no matter who’s in the White House, Doanld Trump, Jeb Bush or Hillary Clinton.
Yes, recessions hit every eight years. The last was just about 8 years ago, warned Zuckerman with these facts: “The period since the Great Recession ended in 2009 has seen the weakest U.S. recovery since World War II,” Our aging bull is actually warning us ... recession dead ahead.
Why no “urgency from the White House,” no push to strengthen the U.S economy, avoid the coming recession? asks Zuckerman. Why? GOP candidates are worse, immature teenagers offering a “handful of Band-Aids.” Any leaders? Trump the egomaniac? God help us.
Next another disturbing Journal op-ed gets tossed into the mix: Dick Cheney is on the attack, sounding like fellow Republican Trump’s motto, “Make America Great Again.” Build a bigger Pentagon war machine, says the architect of the $5 trillion Iraq War fiasco. His latest rally cry: “Restoring American Exceptionalism.” Sorry folks, but the GOP’s relentless efforts to sabotage the White House the last six years (like 50 repetitive and futile House votes to repeal Obamacare) was the exact opposite, an “exceptional” failure of leadership.
The former vice president also quoted conservative columnist Charles Krauthammer: We’re at a “hinge point in history.” And former New York Times war correspondent Chris Hedges one-upped Cheney in Salon.com: The “world is at a crisis point the likes of which we’ve never really seen.” Like the 1848 European revolutions. Hedges even warns liberals, “climate change is the least” of the world’s problems, don’t even think that “voting for Hillary will make any difference.”
Tell Trump the ISIS War will increase taxes, add trillions of new debt
Yes, folks, the GOP neo-con hawks are back at it again, want new wars ... liken Obama to Hitler ... fueling Cheney’s latest bout of extreme hubris ... arming another Bush effort to take over America a third time ... Cheney claims America is weaker today than at the start of his costly ill-fated Iraq War. He should endorse Trump, they both want a new superpower military ready to start new wars, fight revolutionaries, add big debt, run up casualties.
So here we go again. Be exceptional. By fighting bigger wars? Show China we’re more macho? All as the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Martin Dempsey is over in Iraq admitting this won’t be a short war, in contrast to Cheney’s claim we’d be in and out of Iraq fast after the shock-and-awe wave, even “greeted as liberators.”
Another $10 trillion loss, long recession dead ahead
Meanwhile, Dempsey admits the current ISIS war could take decades, with multiple deployments, bigger Pentagon budgets. On top of that, retired Navy Rear Admiral Len Hering warns that the risk to America’s national security is growing fast due to global climate change and rising resource conflicts, a product of the endless droughts and food shortages that intensify regional wars.
Yes, bigger wars, more costs. But unfortunately that’s “not a message the White House or Congress wants to hear,” says Foreign Policy’s Dan de Luce. Why? Politicians are lost without a moral compass, playing endless myopic political games, blind, in denial, threatening costly new wars that pile up more and more debt on top of the debt we were forced to borrow from China to finance Cheney’s Iraq War.
Perfect Storm: New president, Dow 5,000, recession, growth drops
All the recent turmoil is but a prelude to a “Perfect Storm” dead ahead: The recent 1,000 point drop ... slowing global economic growth... China’s market crash ... a Fed rate hike ... worst Dow volatility in 100 years ... the slow death of the oil era ... a long costly ISIS War ... droughts ... forest fires ... irrational climate science denialism ... and more.
And history tells us it doesn’t matter who’s elected president. Trump? Sanders? Hillary? Jeb? Doesn’t matter. Markets don’t care. Remember, McCain? Big crashes, recessions happen, about every eight years. Nobody really cares. Why? Once again we’re playing the game of musical chairs, gambling on the race for the 2016 White House.
And everyone’s playing: Everybody. We instinctively know the market’s headed for another fall. Again. Part of the game, right. In fact, knowing a big crash is coming makes the game more exciting, right! So we all just keep playing for another point, praying we can time our exit just before the coming collapse.
If 250% isn’t enough ... keep playing the game ... but play defense
Yes, the market is up over 250% since 2009. Time to get out? Yes, except the Wall Street casinos keep stirring the pot, there’s more life in this bull. So we keep playing for more gains, more thrills, in the race to the 2016 peak.
How big a crash? Twenty percent? Grantham’s 50%? Lose $8 trillion like 2000? Lose another $10 trillion like 2008? Seems nobody really cares anymore. Today’s game of musical chairs reminds us of that fabulous upbeat bank CEO in our favorite Robert Mankoff New Yorker cartoon who is sounding like Trump:
The CEO is at a podium motivating shareholders: “While the end-of-the-world scenario will be rife with unimaginable horrors, we believe that the pre-end period will be filled with unprecedented opportunities for profit.”
And that is the answer to Zuckerman’s question: “Who will get this Dreary Recovery going?” Answer: Nobody. Why? The question was rhetorical, he gave us the answer: “Recessions occur about every eight years. And America is ill-prepared to weather the one on the horizon.”
Yes, another recession is “on the horizon.” Also another $10 trillion crash. And another painful GOP loss in the 2016 elections.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/100-risk-of-a-50-stock-crash-if-donald-trump-wins-nomination-2015-09-04?link=kiosk

Sunday, September 6, 2015

MONEY MAKING SECRETS....

7 money secrets the rich don't want you to know 

The Motley Fool

Ask most personal finance experts and they'll tell you the secret to becoming rich is no secret at all: Work hard, live below your means and save every dime. The nation's One Percenters, however, might disagree.

There's no shame in a modest lifestyle -- even Warren Buffett lives frugally. But if your goal is to get rich, it's helpful to know these seven secrets the ultra-wealthy aren't likely to share.

1.  Salary isn't the whole story: 

Climbing the corporate ladder will only get you so far; at some point, you reach your earning potential and plateau. The rich know that in order to grow wealth, it's important to make your money work hard for you -- not the other way around. In fact, Robert Kiyosaki, author of the No. 1 best-selling personal finance book "Rich Dad, Poor Dad," built his entire money philosophy around this concept.

Generating income from passive, rather than active, income sources is the best way to do this. Investments that yield passive income include dividend-paying securities, rental properties, profits from a business you do not directly manage on a daily basis -- even royalties on creative work or inventions.

2. Take advantage of time, not timing

If the recent Dow Jones crash proves anything, it's that no one can predict what the market will do tomorrow. The wealthy know this and make no attempt to moonlight as day traders.

"Time is more important to investment success than timing," explained Peter Lazaroff, a certified financial planner who manages portfolios upwards of $10 million for Plancorp, LLC. "Most of the population believes that timing the market's moves is the key to growing rich through the stock market. The wealthy, however, understand that time and compound returns are the most important factor in growing wealth."

Though it might seem counterintuitive, getting rich requires investors to adopt an unsexy buy-and-hold strategy, ride out market fluctuations and ignore speculation.

3. Put it in writing

The difference between having an idea and putting it on paper is often what separates the uber-successful from average folks. And if you equate success with wealth, it might be time to start writing down your goals, both large and small, in order to become rich.

Thomas Corley, author of "Rich Habits: The Daily Success Habits Of Wealthy Individuals," noted that 67 percent of the wealthy people he surveyed wrote down their goals, while 81 percent kept a to-do list. If your goal is to become a multimillionaire, write it down along with an action plan for making it happen.

4. Understand value over cost

According to Justin J. Kumar, senior portfolio manager at Arlington Capital Management, "The wealthy person has three best friends: her attorney, her accountant and her advisor. The wealthy tend to use the law and tax code to their advantage when figuring out how to maximize their wealth, especially over multiple generations, and they are not afraid to spend money up front for counsel to get these answers."

Kumar explained it's common for middle-income Americans to cut corners in order to save money, yet ultimately find the results lacking. "The wealthy look at value over cost, but they are still prudent in their decisions," he said.

5. Eat out less

People who are concerned with saving money often skip the daily latte. The rich enjoy small splurges such as Starbucks whenever they want and instead look at saving from a bigger picture.

Author Paul Sullivan and colleague Brad Klontz, a clinical psychologist with an academic appointment at Kansas State University, conducted research on the difference in spending habits of the 1 percent and the 5 percent. The 1 percent spent 30 percent less on eating out and saved it for retirement instead. "And that, more than the cost of a Starbuck's latte, is what, over time, separates the wealthy from everyone else on the wrong side of the thin green line," Sullivan wrote in Fortune.

6. Be your own boss

Employees work to make their bosses rich. If you're aiming for true wealth, consider starting your own business. According to Forbes, nearly all of the 1,426 people on its list of billionaires made their fortunes through a business they or a family member had a hand in creating.

"Many middle class workers think that starting a business is too risky," noted Robert Wilson, a financial advisor and frequent contributor to CNN, NBC and CBS. "The wealthy understand that what's risky is allowing your time and earnings to be dictated by a boss who couldn't care less about whether you get what you want for your life."

7. Use other people's money

To the average person, "it takes money to make money" might sound like a tired cliche used to justify irrational spending. For the rich, it's a golden rule of wealth.

The key is leveraging other people's money to increase your own wealth.

"Trading time for dollars is a losers' game, especially as technology destroys many jobs that don't require a highly skilled human being," said Wilson. "Using money from banks/investors and hiring people to work for you is a time-tested formula for building wealth, not to mention the tax laws, which heavily favor businesses."

Whether you're fundraising to start a business or flipping real estate for a profit, relying on other people's money to do the heavy lifting greatly increases the return. Of course, it's also riskier than relying on your own funds. But if you follow the sage words of the great Warren Buffett, consider that "risk comes from not knowing what you're doing."

This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com.

The next billion-dollar iSecret

The world's biggest tech company forgot to show you something at its recent event, but a few Wall Street analysts and the Fool didn't miss a beat: There's a small company that's powering their brand-new gadgets and the coming revolution in technology. And we think its stock price has nearly unlimited room to run for early in-the-know investors! To be one of them, just click here.

http://www.msn.com/en-in/money/topstories/7-money-secrets-the-rich-dont-want-you-to-know/ar-AAdYPlF


Thursday, May 14, 2015

WINNING TRENDS IN STOCK MARKETS

“PEOPLE ARE NOT DISTURBED BY THINGS RATHER BY THE VIEW OF THINGS” –ALBERT ELLIS, AN AMERICAN PSYCHOLOGIST WHO DEVELOPEDRATIONAL EMOTIVE BEHAVIOUR THERAPY.
THIS PSYCHOLOGICAL APPROACH IS APT TO MANY BUSINESS HOUSE DECISIONS BUT VERY TRUE IN STOCK MARKETS AS VIEWS BECOME PALE & FEARFUL DURING THE TIMES OF DEPRESSIVE NEGATIVE ENVIRONMENTS, JUSTLIKE NIGHTMARES IN  THICK FORESTS OF ABUNDANT DESOLATION.
THE STOCK-MARKETS CLEARLY REPRESENT A FRIGHTENING CLUMSY PICTURE AT TIMES WHEN VOLITITIY AT ITS PEAK & FALL CONTINUES!!, NO MATTER HOW SEASONED SOMEBODY BUT TO OVERCOME THE NERVE WRENCHING FEAR AND FORESEE THE FUTURE BECOMES DREADFUL.
TO AVOID UNCERTAINTIES IN STOCK MARKETS ARE NOT AT ANYBODY'S COMMAND OR CAPACITY BUT EVERY PARTICIPANT'S WISH....
TO MITIGATE THE FEAR AND UNDERSTAND THE EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES IN CHAOS, THE FOLLOWING APPROACHES CAN BE ADOPTED FOR BETTER RESULTS AND TO KEEP PACE WITH THE MARKET TRENDS...!!
A) CONVERGENT PROCESS:
THIS APPROACH IS MORE WIDELY ACCEPTED AND FOLLOWED BY THE FIIs, DIIs AND ESPECIALLY FOR THAT MATTER MORE PRECISELY BY HEDGE FUNDS. THESE HIGH RISK SEASONED CUTTING EDGE SMART PEOPLE PLACE HIGH BETS WITH AN ANTICIPATION OF HIGH RETURNS. THE BLOOM AND GLOOM CO-EXIST MANY A TIMES BUT THEIR SPIRITS ARE VERY HIGH.
HERE, STOCK PURCHASE CONCENTRATION IS SO HIGH THAT HUGE MONEY PUMPED AND LARGE CHUNK ACQUIRED AT A REASONABLE PRICE. THE COMPANY FUNDAMENTALS, ECONOMIC &BUSINESS TRENDS AND OTHER IMPORTANT PARAMETERS ARE LITTLE KNOWN TO OTHER RETAIL PARTICIPANTS BUT GET SURPRISED WHY AND HOW THESE COUNTERS ARE HOLDING ON TO THE TOP. 
LAST BUT NOT LEAST, THE VERY IMPORTANT MARKET MANAGEMENT MECHANISMS ARE PUT IN PLACE TO SEE THE PRICES RISE STEADILY AND GRADUALLY TO A LIMIT AND THEN A FINAL SHOOT UP …?. UNFORTUNATELY THE GREEDY POOR TRADERS AND RETAIL INVESTORS GET TRAPPED WHEN PARTICIPATE HEAVILY AND OFCOURSE THE WELL INFORMED SEEK AN EXIT…???
B) DIVERGENT PROCESS:
MAINLY FOLLOWED BY HNIs AND SMALL FUND HOUSES. THE PHILOSOPHY IS TO PROTECT THE CAPITAL AND INCREASE PROFITS IN BABY STEPS. THESE INVESTORS NEVER KEEP ALL EGGS IN ONE BASKET BUT PREFER DIFFERENT SECTORS. THIS DIVERGENT MEANS OF MAKING MONEY CAN OFFER SOLACE THAN ANY OTHER MODEL AS THE MARKET WAGGERIES ARE WELL TAKEN CARE. 
THESE PLAYERS ARE MODERATE IN RISK TAKING APPROACH, HAVE GOOD CONFIDENCE IN MARKETS BUT FEARFUL IN APPROACH. THEY ADOPT LONG-TERM PLAY WITH AN EYE ON SHORT-TERM GAINS, PLACE THEM IN GOOD POSITION AS THEY OFTEN TAKE-OUT PROFITS AT HIGHER LEVELS AND RE-ENTER AT LOWER LEVELS. SO, SAFE AND SECURE ALL THE TIME.
C) CHANNELLED PROCESS:
THE LADDER LIKE APPROACH IS ADOPTED BY SMART INDIVIDUALS TO ENSURE SUCCESS AT EVERY MOVE  WITH A LIMITED RESOURCE/MONEY. THEY KEEP MAINTAIN A WINNING STEAK ON BOTH THE DIRECTIONAL MOVES, SAIL ALONG WITH BULLS AND BEARS AS THEIR ADAPTABILITY & LIQUIDITY AT HAND ALLOWS SUCH FACILITY. THEY KEEP INCREASE VERY CALCULATED BETS, ALSO MAKE SUCCESS, A COMMON PHENOMENA LIKE CLIMBING A LADDER.
THESE PLAYERS ARE KNOWLEDGEABLE AND QUITE SMART IN CATCHING TRENDS IN THE MARKETS AND PLACE THEIR BETS SAFELY, ALSO MAKE SOME GOOD MONEY. THE PLAYERS SUCK EACH EMERGING OPPORTUNITIES IN STOCK MOVEMENTS BUT THEIR WELL ESTABLISHED APPROACH IS NOT KNOWN IN THE MARKET CIRCLES BUT MAKE DECENT COOL MONEY.
D) ZIG-ZAG JUMPING PROCESS: 
THIS APPROACH IS MOSTLY ADOPTED BY THE DAY TRADERS AND SWING TRADERS, ENJOY BUYING AND SELLING MANY A TIMES DURING THE DAY.THESE ENTHUSIASTIC TRADING PLAYERS ARE BACK-BONE TO MARKET LIQUIDITY AND FOR STOCK-TIPS ADVISORS. THEY KEEP ENGAGED EVERY TIME AND EACH TIME THEY TAKE A CALL AS THEIR GAME IS HIGHLY VOLATILE AND NO-BODY UNDERSTANDS WHY A BUYING IS MADE AND INSTANTLY A SELLING IS INITIATED. MANY A TIMES THEY BUY AT ONE COUNTER AND ALSO SELL ANOTHER SCRIP. ULTIMATELY, THEY ENJOY PARTICIPATION RATHER THAN MAKING MONEY.
THESE SMALL TIME RATHER INSTANT PLAYERS NEVER MAKE HUGE MONEY STORED IN THE MARKETS BUT LOSE MONEY FOR SURE, BECAUSE OF BUNDLE OF CONFUSIONS!. THE MORE THEY PLAY THE MORE THEY PAY. THEY HARDLY MAINTAIN ANY ORDER/METHOD, FIND NO TIME TO STUDY, PREFER EXTERNAL DEPENDENCY, MAINTAIN ADAMANT BEHAVIOUR TO A LOSING DEALS, RELY ON IRRATIONAL MEDIA COVERAGES & LIVE IN RUMORS AND PLACE HUGE BETS, BELIEVE IN CARRY ALONG WITH THE MOB IN THE MARKETS...ETC. ALL THE MORE, TAKE VERY FRAGILE DECISIONS AND UN-MINDFULLY INVITE HIGH-RISKS, UNFORTUNATELY GO INTO DUST...UN-NOTICED!!!!


Tuesday, May 12, 2015

SENSEX-1991-2015


YearOpenHighLowClose
19911027.381955.29947.141908.85
19921965.684546.581945.482615.37
19932617.783459.071980.063346.06
19943436.874643.313405.883926.9
19953910.163943.662891.453110.49
19963114.084131.222713.123085.2
19973096.654605.413096.653658.98
19983658.3443222741.223055.41
19993064.955150.993042.255005.82
20005209.546150.693491.553972.12
20013990.654462.112594.873262.33
20023262.013758.272828.483377.28
20033383.855920.762904.445838.96
20045872.486617.154227.56602.69
20056626.499442.986069.339397.93
20069422.4914035.38799.0113786.91
200713827.7720498.1112316.120286.99
200820325.2721206.777697.399647.31
20099720.5517530.948047.1717464.81
201017473.4521108.6415651.9920509.09
201120621.6120664.815135.8615454.92
201215534.6719612.1815358.0219426.71
201319513.4521483.7417448.7121170.68
201421222.1928822.3719963.1227499.42
201527485.7730024.7426776.1227011.31

Thursday, December 25, 2014

THERMAX--- MERRY CHRISTMAS...!!!!

MIND BOGGLING YET…

I WAS AMAZED TO SEE THE PRICE ROCKETED TO CREATE ENOUGH TURBULENCE IN ME.

I BOUGHT 1000 SHARES OF THERMAX FOR Rs 38.65, 15 YEARS BACK,

TODAY, THE PRICE OF THERMAX IS Rs 1050/- OF Rs 2/- FACE VALUE (EQUAL TO Rs 5150/-). IN OTHER WORDS, ONE LAKH INVESTED HAS BECOME MORE THAN 66 LAKHS.

EVEN RECENTLY, 2-3 YEARS BACK, I FOUND MARKSAN AT Rs 2.30 NOW IT IS QUOTING Rs 64/-.

ALSO FOUND MORARJEE TEXTILES AT Rs 7.0 NOW TOUCHED A HIGH OF Rs 61, INDOCOUNT INDUSTRIES AT Rs 7.0 NOW TOUCHED A HIGH OF Rs 390/-.

BUT THE ABOVE THREE WERE JUST MEMORIES BUT NO PARTICIPATION……

==============================================

MERRY CHRISTMAS TO YOU AND ALL INVESTORS & TRADERS…

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Solar energy-breakthrough

Solar energy prices to come down with tech breakthrough

M RAMESH
As India gears up for solar projects under the recently-overhauled National Solar Mission programme, a breakthrough in polysilicon manufacturing promises to make solar energy at ₹6 or less per kilowatt-hour (kWhr) possible.
Across the world, solar technologists have been grappling with the issue of converting more of sun’s energy falling on solar panels into electricity. While chasing ‘efficiency’ has been the primary means of achieving cost-reduction, a US-headquartered company, which is active in India, has achieved a technological breakthrough in the manufacture of Polysilicon, a key raw material.
SunEdison’s “high pressure fluidised bed reactor” technology has made energy costs of producing polysilicon “irrelevant”, according to Pashupathy Gopalan, who head’s the US solar giant’s Asia-Pacific operations.
Effective
Conventional manufacturing processes consumes 40-50 kWhr of electricity to make a kilogram of polysilicon. In contrast, SunEdison’s FBR technology would need 3-5 kWhr. A corollary of this is the point that with energy costs coming down so drastically, it now makes sense to put up a polysilicon plant in India.
The FBR technology was recently implemented in a polysilicon plant in Korea, a joint venture of SunEdison and Samsung Fine Chemicals.
Cost factor
The technology will enable SunEdison — which is a solar power plant owner as well as a polysilicon and modules producer — to deliver ‘400 Watt peak’ modules at cost of 40 US dollar cents by 2016.
In simpler terms, this means you would need 25,000 of SunEdison’s modules per MW of solar power capacity, against 33,000 of conventional ones. As a result, the plant would call for lesser land and “balance of systems” such as electrical and civil work. Consequently, the costs will come down considerably and solar power developers could profitably sell their electricity at ₹6 a unit, Pashupathy Gopalan told BusinessLine.
Asked if SunEdison would put up a polysilicon plant in India, he noted that such a project would call for an investment of about $2 billion and a decision would depend upon the Government’s support. While India has the lure of the market, other countries are more attractive for large-scale projects.
The recently-reworked National Solar Mission has raised the targets. The Government wants to see 15 GW by 2019, as part of its 100 GW ambition, compared with the earlier target of 22,000 by 2020.
SunEdison owns about 100 MW of solar power plants in India, and is building a 100 more and is the largest foreign investor in the Indian solar sector.

(This article was published on October 27, 2014)
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/economy/macro-economy/solar-energy-prices-to-come-down-with-tech-breakthrough/article6538683.ece

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Black money in India: HSBC list has 628 names, top amount $18 mn

Appu Esthose Suresh | New Delhi | Updated: Oct 26 2014, 13:47 IST

Only about a fifth of the individuals or entities named in the so-called HSBC black money list on India of alleged foreign account holders have acknowledged their ownership of the accounts. These individuals or entities — 136 in number — have either paid, or are in the process of paying, penalties for concealing incomes.
The HSBC black money list contains names and holdings of individuals or entities with accounts in the Geneva branch of HSBC's Swiss subsidiary HSBC Private Bank. The information was stolen from the bank by a former employee on a particular day in 2006. The list was given to India by France in June 2011.
According to documents accessed by The Indian Express, the HSBC list contains names of 628 Indian individuals or entities. The Income Tax Department has so far found matches between names and addresses in 418 cases. In 282 of these cases, however, either the account number or the balance in the account is not available.
In general, the list contains four sets of information: name, address, account number and balance.
Of the 136 individuals or entities who have acknowledged the accounts, many have pleaded that they were not aware of their existence, but would pay the tax and penalty due, senior I-T officers involved in the investigation said. Many of these 136 accounts show zero balance.
The addresses against 12 of the 418 names in the list belong to Kolkata. However, only six have confirmed that the account belongs to them.
The highest amount in the list is $ 18 million, allegedly belonging to two top industrialists.
The most common surnames on the list are Mehta and Patel.
French authorities had secured the list from software technologist Hervé Falciani, who has been collaborating with several European countries tracking suspected tax evaders with accounts in Swiss banks. The list contains alleged account data on the date Falciani procured them.
The Indian Express was the first to report in August 2011 that the French had handed over to India the list of HSBC account holders of Indian origin. The government is in the process of sending a list of 50 names from the 136 to Swiss authorities to confirm the authenticity of the information.
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/black-money-in-india-hsbc-list-has-628-names-top-amount-18-mn/1301633

Sunday, July 20, 2014

THE INDIAN MARKETS FUTURE JOURNEY....

PHENOMENAL RISE&HIGHs but A Denial for NOW….
The Indian markets have performed stupendously, like a race against all ODDs and against all emerging markets. We are the best performing Indices YTD or for the quarter. The Rise is so phenomenal that no-body expected but few could CASH the opportunity. Now many new entrants are making inquiries and many more are looking as a decent opportunity to make HUGE money to meet their DREAMS.
The fact is that, since January-14, Nifty rose by 20%, Mid-Caps by 30% and Small caps by 55%, some Individual stocks rose by 400-700% from their LOWs. The hype generated now is due to change in the Government, a market friendly team at the top. But the fact is that No-body could SELL the National property via LIBERALIZATION for no reason, nor for a simple cause. The National growth based on immediate requirements and will be judged by prioritising/striking a right balance between “NECESSITY & COMMERCIALIZATION”. The Future is GOOD as huge investments will take place and the results will come in due course of time.
As far as the Stock Markets rise is concerned, a dead cheap stocks are at a historic low was one of the major reasons for FIIs relentless investments. The Global markets are also encouraging and FREE Supply/HIGH Liquidity is driving the markets for NOW. Very few are working on the REAL worth for the paper but relying on the PROJECTIONS. The Nifty is POISED for touching 9000+ as experts are working on the next 3-year EARNINGS and P/E that could safely take us above the above said number. I am not pessimistic but play a realistic role for valuing the Available Opportunity. The main reason for Nifty may seek SOUTHWARD JOURNEY because of looming DROUGHT, Poor Investments made by the CORPORATES in the Preceding/Previous 2-3 years, so NO earnings Surprise by the top companies.
So, the scenario is GLOOM in the Short-term, however the POLICY push can give some bounce but for the next ONE year will be very challenging. The Nifty stocks are moving up but the UN-Winding is a concern. The rise from here may not be that much sharp or serious, from here 2-Ups and 4-5 Downs. Because the FUTURE is promising, on any DEEP cut/ steep fall BULLs take charge to make a comeback to take away the Retail Investors most of the STOP-LOSSES.
THE BLOOM and GLOOM story…..THE MOMENTUM IS HIGH….
THE NIFTY MAY TOUCH 8785-8850 RANGE; BUT VERY LIKELY, IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 7000, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 6600-6400 RANGE
THE BANK-NIFTY MAY TOUCH 20100-22000 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 12500-800, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 10100-10300 RANGE
THE RELIANCE MAY TOUCH 1450-1550 RANGE;IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 801-811, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 759-736 RANGE
THE ONGC MAY TOUCH 620-650 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 311-321, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 270 RANGE
THE SBI MAY TOUCH 3850-3950 RANGE, IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 1920-1950, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 1450-1430 RANGE
THE ICICI MAY TOUCH 2130-2080 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 1180-1220, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 970-950 RANGE
THE RELCAPITAL MAY TOUCH 950-1050 RANGE;IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 440-415, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 330 RANGE
THE RELINFRA MAY TOUCH 1080-1150 RANGE; IN THE SHORT-TERM LOW MAY  TOUCH 520-540, NO SURPRISE EVEN IF IT TOUCHES 440 RANGE
WE CAN EXTEND AND READ MORE NUMBERS… BUT THE DENIAL IS RIDING HIGH EVEN IN MY MIND…
PLS DON’T BUY NOW UNTIL NIFTY TOUCHES 7250-80 RANGE, BUT THE ACTUAL BUYING IN QUALITY STOCKS SHALL EMERGE FROM 7000 ONLY. THOSE WHO ARE COMPULSIVE, SHALL TAKE A STOPLOSS ROUTE RATHER THAN HOLDING FOR LONGER…THW WAIT MAY BE 3 YEARS…!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!